Why Saudi Investment Has Not Transformed Newcastle into Title Contenders
Eddie Howe isn't typically given to dramatics or sweeping media statements. So by his standards, his media briefing after Sunday’s loss to West Ham qualifies as a furious outburst. Newcastle took an early lead but the opposition were ahead by half-time, as well as hitting the post and seeing a spot-kick revoked by VAR, leading Howe to execute a triple change at the half-time.
“The opening period was particularly irritating,” Howe stated. “I almost could have taken anyone off and I believe this indicated of our performance level at that stage in the game and it's extremely uncommon for me to have that impression. In fact, I cannot recall having done so since I’ve been manager of Newcastle, therefore I believed the squad required a significant change at the break. That’s why I made those decisions.”
Three key players all came off at half-time and Newcastle did stabilise somewhat in the second half, but never appearing like they could get back into the contest against a side that had secured just a single victory of their last nine fixtures. Considering how packed the middle of the standings currently is, with just three points separating third from 11th, and a nine-point margin between the upper and lower ranks, a run of twelve points from 10 games has not placed Newcastle stranded but, equally, they must not end the campaign in thirteenth place.
The Issue of Expectations
The challenge partially is one of perception. In the Saudi Public Investment Fund, Newcastle possess the wealthiest owners in the globe. The assumption when the Saudi fund bought a majority stake of the club in 2021 was that it would bring a transformative effect, as the former Chelsea owner had at Chelsea or Sheikh Mansour did at the Etihad. The difference is that those two investors took over before the advent of FFP regulations (and the ongoing allegations against City relate to whether they breached those guidelines once they were implemented).
Profit and sustainability restrictions limit the capacity of owners, no matter how wealthy, to spend money on their teams and therefore probably might have hindered every Middle Eastern effort to elevate Newcastle to the level of City. But it wasn't necessary for the club's spending to have been quite as cautious as it has been; they might have spent more and stayed inside the threshold – or simply taken a relatively meagre European penalty given their major problem is primarily with the European than the domestic rules.
Infrastructure Spending and Financial Regulations
Additionally, stadium development is excluded from PSR calculations; the easiest way to raise income to generate more financial headroom would be to extend or redevelop the arena. Given the location of St James’ Park, with listed buildings on multiple sides, in reality that likely implies building an entirely new venue. There was talk in March of possibly making the short move to a local park – resistance from community organizations might have been surmounted with a promise to build a new park on the current ground location – but there has not been any progress on that proposal. There has been substantial retrenchment from the Saudi fund on a variety of initiatives as it shifts focus on domestic affairs; the attitude to Newcastle appears entirely in alignment with that strategic shift.
Player Sales Situation
The Alexander Isak episode was born of that conflict. A more confident leadership could have portrayed his transfer as necessary to release capital for further spending; instead there was a unsuccessful attempt to retain him. This resulted in the team began the season amid a sense of frustration even with the signings of several new players. The start was mixed: a single victory in their initial six fixtures.
Yet it appeared a turning point was reached. They had won five victories in six matches before the weekend, a streak that included convincing wins of a Belgian side and Benfica in the Champions League. That’s why the display against the Hammers was so surprising. The problem maybe is that the team's style is very aggressive, very high-octane; a slight drop-off in energy can have significant consequences. Maybe the strain of Premier League, European and Carabao Cup competition, five games in a fortnight, had taken its toll. Woltemade started all five games and appeared especially weary.
Reality of Modern Football
That’s the nature of modern football. Coaches must be prepared to make changes. The manager has been unlucky that the forward's injury has left him short of forward choices but, no matter how valid the explanations, Sunday’s performance was unacceptable –especially after scoring first at a stadium ready to criticize its own side.
Howe will hope it was just a blip, an off-day when all players is off-colour at once, but if the Magpies are to qualify for the Champions League in the future, let alone one day mount an genuine title challenge, they cannot be as unreliable as they have been.